
576 
FNUS54 KMRX 220733
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
AFFECTING THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE 
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION BY 
SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+8)   50-55 (0)    70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-17)  79-84 (+2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9        SW  7 G16    SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 29         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   49-54 (0)    68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  79-84 (+2)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  W 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         SW  8 G16    W 16 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 29         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-230815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   49-54 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   84-89 (+5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G16                  SW 16 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW 10 G22    SW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 29         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 
20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 
UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-230815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   50-55 (0)    69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-9)   88-93 (+7)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  8 G19    SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 25         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-230815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   48-53 (0)    68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   88-93 (+5)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     SW  7 G15    SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 26         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   51-56 (0)    71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  79-84 (+2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9        SW  7        SW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 28         
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   52-57 (+1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   82-87 (+5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G18    SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011 /500 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   52-57 (+1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-9)   82-87 (+4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  8 G18    SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 25         
DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

