
210 
FNUS54 KMRX 211848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 
THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    69-74 (+3)   51-56        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   41-46 (-7)   76-81        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW  9 G17    SW  6        SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   11 AM        
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   68-73 (+1)   48-53        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   39-44 (-2)   76-81        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  W 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W  9 G18     W  8 G18     W 16 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 37         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   68-73 (0)    47-52        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-12)  35-40 (+1)   72-77        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  SW 14 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW 11 G20    SW 10 G23    SW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   71-76 (0)    47-52        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-9)   40-45 (+1)   88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  8 G17    SW  7 G15    SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW 35        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   71-76 (0)    45-50        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   39-44 (+3)   89-94        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  SW 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     SW  5        SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 33         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   72-77 (+2)   49-54        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   36-41 (-5)   79-84        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  9 G19    SW  5        SW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM        
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 38        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   74-79 (+2)   51-56        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   35-40 (-4)   78-83        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  9 G18    SW  6        SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM        
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            4            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011 /148 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   76-81 (+3)   52-57        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   34-39 (-4)   84-89        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    SW  6        SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 11 AM        
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      SW 36        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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