
953 
FNUS54 KMRX 210710
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

...BREEZY WINDS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+5)   48-53 (-2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   82-87 (+7)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    SW  8 G16    SW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 20         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   47-52 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   85-90 (+9)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     W  8 G20     W 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 23         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-220800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   46-51 (-2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   85-90 (+3)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  8 G19    W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 23         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-220800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+3)   47-52 (-2)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-3)   88-93 (+4)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  7        SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 21         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-220800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   46-51 (-3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   93-98 (+9)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  6        W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 22         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   49-54 (-2)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   85-90 (+10)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  7        SW 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 21         
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+3)   49-54 (-3)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+2)   85-90 (+6)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G19                 SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    SW  6        SW 12 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 21         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011 /500 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   49-54 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   85-90 (+6)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8                      SW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9        SW  6        SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 22         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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