
815 
FNUS54 KMRX 200700
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

...BREEZY WINDS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AS A WARM FRONT. AS A RESULT...ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A 
CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   44-49 (+6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  85-90 (+15)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 SW  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S 10 G19     SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      W 26         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   41-46 (+3)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+16)  87-92 (+15)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G24                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G24     S 13 G24     W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 22         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   42-47 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  87-92 (+15)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G22                  SW  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     S 14 G28     SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. 
EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   45-50 (-1)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  87-92 (+15)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G24                 S  8 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE 11 G23    SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  44-49 (-1)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   86-91 (+11)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G24                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G22    SE  9 G17    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-3)   44-49 (+4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  89-94 (+16)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 SW  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  8 G17     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS 5 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   47-52 (+3)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+15)  85-90 (+13)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S  9 G20     SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011 /500 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   48-53 (0)    72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  89-94 (+15)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G19                 S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S 10 G20     SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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