
683 
FNUS54 KMRX 191902
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY...BRINGING A 
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS. OTHERWISE MOSTLY DRY WEATHER...WITH 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY 
OF NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   61-66 (-2)   45-50        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-10)  41-46 (+13)  79-84        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   116 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING
TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   62-67 (-3)   41-46        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-10)  36-41 (+9)   79-84        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   62-67 (-5)   42-47        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-12)  38-43 (+1)   76-81        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            12 AM        8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    66-71 (-6)   45-50        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-11)  44-49 (+6)   85-90        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 18        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    66-71 (-7)   44-49        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  42-47 (+2)   83-88        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 16        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   66-71 (-1)   43-48        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-6)   36-41 (+7)   83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   67-72 (-2)   47-52        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-8)   38-43 (+8)   76-81        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      SW 24        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
302 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011 /202 PM CDT SAT MAR 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    68-73 (-4)   47-52        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-11)  38-43 (+1)   84-89        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   102 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

