
729 
FNUS54 KMRX 190748
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...TRIGGERING A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN MOVE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON 
SUNDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS. ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   37-42 (-10)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-8)   76-81 (-6)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  8                      SE  6    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8        NE  6        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      S 14         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   38-43 (-8)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   76-81 (-5)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      SE  8    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      S 15         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-200815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   42-47 (-4)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   78-83 (-7)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     S  6     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        E  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 15         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-200815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   46-51 (-1)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   81-86 (-9)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      SE  7   
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 21         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-200815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   45-50 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   81-86 (-13)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  8    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      S 18         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-3)   40-45 (-8)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   78-83 (-2)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     SE  6    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  6        SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     S 14         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-4)   44-49 (-5)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (0)    78-83 (-4)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  8                     SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  8        NE  7 G15    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     S 16         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2011 /500 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-4)   48-53 (-1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   79-84 (-8)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  7                     SE  8    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  7 G17    S  9     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 13                     S 20         
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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