
342 
FNUS54 KMRX 181900
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT...TRIGGERING A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE WEEKEND. RAINFALL WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND 
SHOULD NOT PRODUCE ANY FLOODING CONCERNS.

THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL NOT BRING MUCH CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES... 
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   63-68 (-5)   42-47        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+8)   33-38 (-10)  79-84        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G20                  SE  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        NE  7        SE  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.03         0.14         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   63-68 (-5)   42-47        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   37-42 (-3)   79-84        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6 G15                  SE 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     N  6         NE  5        SE 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.03         0.12         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   64-69 (-6)   45-50        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-8)   40-45 (+2)   83-88        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      S  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    NE  5        E  5         S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      S 14         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   69-74 (-4)   50-55        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+3)   46-51 (+6)   88-93        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  6         LGT/VAR      SE 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-192000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   70-75 (-3)   51-56        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   45-50 (+6)   87-92        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     SE 14        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   67-72 (-4)   44-49        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   34-39 (-6)   82-87        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7 G17                 SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        NE  6        NE  7 G15    SE  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.03         0.09         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     S 13         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   68-73 (-5)   47-52        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   35-40 (-3)   82-87        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  9 G17                 SE  5 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        NE  7 G16    S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   3            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     S 15         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011 /200 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   71-76 (-4)   50-55        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+9)   38-43 (+2)   84-89        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7 G16                 SE  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  7        NE  7 G16    S 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      S 18         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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