
742 
FNUS54 KMRX 181522 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION BY TONIGHT...TRIGGERING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR 
THE WEEKEND. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL NOT BRING MUCH CHANGE IN 
TEMPERATURES...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   48-53 (+3)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   91-96 (+18)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.12         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N 14         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   47-52 (+7)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   85-90 (+1)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G22     W  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 13         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-191630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   46-51 (+7)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   85-90 (+2)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     SW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 12         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   47-52 (+6)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   89-94 (+6)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      N 13         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-191630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   45-50 (+6)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+8)   95-100 (+7)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   49-54 (+6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   90-95 (+11)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   49-54 (+2)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    88-93 (+18)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     NE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NE 14        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1122 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011 /1022 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   49-54 (+4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   86-91 (+12)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      N 13         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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