
675 
FNUS54 KMRX 180716
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION BY TONIGHT...TRIGGERING A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR 
THE WEEKEND. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL NOT BRING MUCH CHANGE IN 
TEMPERATURES...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+7)   48-53 (+3)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   91-96 (+17)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.12         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N 14         
DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+8)   47-52 (+7)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   85-90 (+18)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G22     W  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 13         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   46-51 (+7)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+4)   85-90 (+25)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     SW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N 12         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   47-52 (+6)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+5)   89-94 (+12)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      N 13         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   45-50 (+6)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+6)   95-100 (+11) 36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+8)   49-54 (+6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+2)   90-95 (+12)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+7)   49-54 (+2)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   88-93 (+18)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     NE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NE 14        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011 /500 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   49-54 (+4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   86-91 (+9)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      N 13         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 

$$

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