
569 
FNUS54 KMRX 171905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL HOLD OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH FRIDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND WARM 
TEMPERATURES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTH INTO THE REGION 
SATURDAY...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWER AND CONTINUED MILD 
TEMPERATURES. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+15)  68-73 (+4)   49-54        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   42-47 (+11)  77-82        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         118 VERY GOOD             88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  66-71 (+4)   48-53        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   35-40 (+5)   80-85        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     W  5         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  68-73 (+5)   46-51        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   30-35 (+1)   79-84        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G21                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  7 G15     W  5         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   73-78 (+2)   46-51        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  34-39 (+8)   86-91        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   74-79 (+2)   44-49        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+14)  31-36 (+6)   88-93        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+12)  70-75 (+5)   46-51        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    37-42 (+6)   86-91        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  72-77 (+5)   49-54        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   37-42 (+6)   81-86        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2011 /205 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  75-80 (+5)   48-53        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   33-38 (+3)   86-91        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

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