
459 
FNUS54 KMRX 151840
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION 
WEDNESDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   51-56 (0)    33-38        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   46-51 (-9)   82-87        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   50-55 (-1)   33-38        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+15)  43-48 (-13)  76-81        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G20     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   52-57 (-1)   36-41        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   34-39 (-22)  72-77        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            2 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   56-61 (+1)   34-39        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   40-45 (-19)  82-87        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   57-62 (+2)   31-36        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   34-39 (-29)  89-94        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     W  8         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   55-60 (0)    31-36        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   41-46 (-12)  85-90        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   57-62 (0)    36-41        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   40-45 (-12)  80-85        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011 /140 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  59-64 (+3)   36-41        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   36-41 (-19)  86-91        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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