
821 
FNUS54 KMRX 150817
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY 
TODAY. SHOWERS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A TRAILING COLD FRONT PASSES 
THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
BUILD INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES FROM SOUTHWEST 
TO NORTHEAST. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   39-44 (+1)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   84-89 (-3)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G24                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G25     SW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      W 15         
DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   38-43 (-1)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   90-95 (+2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 15 G28                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G25    SW  5 G20    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      W 14         
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   35-40 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   87-92 (-3)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 14 G27                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW  5 G15    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-8)   35-40 (-10)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   88-93 (-2)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G25                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G24     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-8)   36-41 (-8)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+13)  90-95 (0)    32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      NW 12        
DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   39-44 (-2)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   85-90 (-5)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     SW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 10         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   37-42 (-7)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  83-88 (-5)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W  9         
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
417 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011 /317 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   36-41 (-11)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   84-89 (-5)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

SON/TD

