
206 
FNUS54 KMRX 141843
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY 
TONIGHT. SHOWERS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW 
AS A TRAILING COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE AREA. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+2)   53-58 (+1)   40-45        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+8)   55-60 (+2)   81-86        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G30                 SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         S 14 G30     SW  5        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.26         0.06         0.01         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   53-58 (+2)   39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   52-57 (-5)   84-89        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G27                 W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    S 11 G26     LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.32         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-151945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   55-60 (+1)   36-41        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    48-53 (-8)   85-90        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G26                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G19    SW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.34         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-151945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   57-62 (-4)   36-41        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   56-61 (+2)   87-92        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    SW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.29         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-151945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   57-62 (-4)   37-42        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   55-60 (+2)   85-90        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G18                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.34         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   57-62 (+1)   40-45        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   51-56 (0)    83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G26                 SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        S 11 G26     LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.29         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   59-64 (+2)   38-43        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   49-54 (-7)   83-88        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.24         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 PM EDT MON MAR 14 2011 /143 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   58-63 (-5)   37-42        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+5)   53-58 (+2)   85-90        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.85         0.14         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            2            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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