
573 
FNUS54 KMRX 131842
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL BE NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE 
BORDER TONIGHT...THEN WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT MONDAY 
AND MONDAY NIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES.  
  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    51-56 (-13)  40-45        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   50-55 (+22)  83-88        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.20         0.28         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    50-55 (-11)  39-44        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   60-65 (+27)  82-87        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SE  5        SE  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.25         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 35         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   53-58 (-8)   43-48        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+9)   61-66 (+22)  80-85        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         SE  6        S  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.49         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      S 35         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   60-65 (-5)   46-51        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+20)  57-62 (+20)  84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.83         0.27         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 33         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+5)   62-67 (-4)   47-52        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+17)  57-62 (+20)  82-87        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.71         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 33         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   55-60 (-11)  42-47        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+5)   53-58 (+21)  85-90        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.13         0.32         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      S 25         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   56-61 (-11)  45-50        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   58-63 (+25)  83-88        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      S  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.17         0.61         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 28         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
242 PM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011 /142 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   62-67 (-5)   48-53        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+14)  50-55 (+14)  84-89        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         1.00         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      S 28         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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