
896 
FNUS54 KMRX 121938
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO THE AREA TONIGHT BEFORE STALLING ON 
SUNDAY.  A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM ON THE FRONT AND 
WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST MONDAY.
  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  57-62 (-3)   39-44        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   40-45 (+9)   79-84        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G16     W  6         LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SE  5        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+14)  56-61 (-3)   40-45        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+5)   42-47 (+12)  82-87        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G19     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      S  7         
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+13)  56-61 (-3)   41-46        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   47-52 (+18)  81-86        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         0.22         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+12)  62-67 (-2)   44-49        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   46-51 (+21)  90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  63-68 (-1)   44-49        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  46-51 (+20)  91-96        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.18         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+13)  60-65 (-4)   41-46        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   40-45 (+13)  84-89        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G16    W  5         LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S  3         
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+13)  61-66 (-5)   44-49        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   44-49 (+17)  79-84        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      S  9         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
238 PM EST SAT MAR 12 2011 /138 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  63-68 (-4)   45-50        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   44-49 (+21)  84-89        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.03         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      S 20         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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