
990 
FNUS54 KMRX 102002
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL MOVE EAST
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO PUSH IN.  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-13)  37-42 (-3)   28-33        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   52-57 (-26)  84-89        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  SW 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 10 G18     SW  7        SW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 36         
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   107 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  36-41 (-5)   26-31        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  50-55 (-26)  75-80        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G26                  SW 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G25     W 12 G22     W  8 G16     W 11 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 32                     W 35         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-112115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-16)  39-44 (-2)   25-30        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    46-51 (-18)  80-85        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     W 10 G19     W  7 G17     SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W 32         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-112115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-13)  45-50 (+2)   26-31        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-4)   45-50 (-19)  85-90        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G18    W  8         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-112115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-12)  45-50 (+2)   25-30        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   46-51 (-19)  84-89        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 SW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    W  9         LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   96 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-14)  42-47 (-1)   27-32        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   45-50 (-28)  84-89        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  SW  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W 11 G19     SW  5        SW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 35         
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-11)  46-51 (+5)   30-35        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-8)   39-44 (-29)  84-89        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G17                  SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  9 G17     SW  5        SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     W 33         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011 /202 PM CST THU MAR 10 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   49-54 (+8)   32-37        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  31-36 (-31)  82-87        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    W  9 G16     SW  5        SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W 31         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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