
892 
FNUS54 KMRX 100821
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS EARLY TODAY 
WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS IN. VERY COLD AIR ALOFT IN 
ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH SUFFICIENT 
MOISTURE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO 
TONIGHT. ACCUMULATION WILL BE LIMITED MAINLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN 
AREAS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THE SMOKY 
MOUNTAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE REGION BY 
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   26-31 (-14)  37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+18)  95-100 (-1)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G17                 W 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  9 G17     W 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.15         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 28        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   25-30 (-16)  35-40        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+19)  95-100 (+7)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G19                 W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     W 13 G24     W 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       7            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.17         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 32        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               87 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  25-30 (-16)  38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   93-98 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  NW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     NW 12 G23    NW 13 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       7            7            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.14         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 29        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  29-34 (-14)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   88-93 (-2)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G20                 NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW 10 G19    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  29-34 (-14)  44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-8)   86-91 (-9)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW 12 G21    NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 33        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               89 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-11)  28-33 (-15)  41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+13)  93-98 (+4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G19                  W 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     W 10 G18     W 13 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       7            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.10         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 28        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-13)  28-33 (-13)  45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   90-95 (-2)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G19                  NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  9 G17     W 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
321 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011 /221 AM CST THU MAR 10 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  28-33 (-12)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  81-86 (-10)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G19                 NW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW 10 G18    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 23                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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