
658 
FNUS54 KMRX 082010
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ABUNDANT MOISTURE 
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE AREA 
WEDNESDAY...WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. HIGH WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED 
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+10)  51-56 (-2)   39-44        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   58-63 (+25)  93-98        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G28                 W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G15    SE 13 G29    SE  8 G20    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.90         0.54         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 47                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+11)  50-55 (-2)   38-43        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   57-62 (+24)  95-100       49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 23 G44                 W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G26    SE 18 G41    SE 12 G26    W 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.99         0.60         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 51                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS OR SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-092115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+10)  51-56 (-2)   37-42        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   57-62 (+23)  95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 24 G47                  W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G26    SE 18 G46    S 10 G27     W 12 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         1.30         0.56         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 55                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-092115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  54-59 (-1)   38-43        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+3)   56-61 (+21)  95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 16 G32                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G18    SE 12 G29    S  7 G15     W 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         1.35         0.53         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 48                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-092115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  53-58 (-1)   38-43        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+7)   57-62 (+22)  95-100       45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 14 G27                 NW 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    E 11 G27     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         1.47         0.56         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 47                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+11)  53-58 (-2)   40-45        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-4)   57-62 (+23)  93-98        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G27                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE 11 G27    SE  6 G17    W 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         1.04         0.52         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 43                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+12)  54-59 (-2)   39-44        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    59-64 (+24)  95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G24                  W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  9 G19    SE  5        W 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.98         0.45         0.05         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 41                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2011 /210 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+13)  57-62 (+1)   38-43        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   55-60 (+19)  95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G24                  W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  9 G17    S  5         W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         1.08         0.31         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 41                      NW 26        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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