
970 
FNUS54 KMRX 072000
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR SEASONAL 
TEMPERATURES.  THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON 
WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   55-60 (+9)   37-42        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-13)  25-30 (-13)  71-76        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE 15 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        SE 10 G23    SE 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.71         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SE 33        
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    54-59 (+8)   36-41        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-12)  25-30 (-12)  73-78        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 SE 17 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G16    SE 10 G18    SE 15 G34    SE 14 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.90         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     SE 30        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   55-60 (+8)   39-44        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-13)  27-32 (-10)  71-76        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     S 22 G44     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    SE 13 G31    S 19 G40     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         1.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 13                      S 36         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   57-62 (+4)   42-47        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-11)  29-34 (-3)   82-87        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE 18 G36    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    SE 13 G29    SE 15 G32    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         1.27         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     SE 37        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   56-61 (+3)   41-46        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-12)  28-33 (-3)   83-88        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE 16 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    SE 15 G31    SE 13 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         1.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     SE 25        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (+1)   57-62 (+8)   37-42        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-10)  26-31 (-10)  78-83        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  9 G23    SE 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.82         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     SE 26        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   58-63 (+7)   40-45        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-10)  30-35 (-6)   76-81        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  7 G20    S 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         0.82         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST MON MAR 7 2011 /200 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+3)   58-63 (+4)   45-50        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-10)  31-36 (-1)   75-80        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G15                 SE 17 G33    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G15    SE 10 G24    S 11 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           90           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.29         1.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 23                     S 32         
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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