
092 
FNUS54 KMRX 070935
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY AND TUESDAY...BRINGING DRIER WEATHER AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS. 
ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF THE 
WEEK...BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THE POSSIBILITY 
OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-081045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   28-33 (+2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-32)  70-75 (-17)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     SE  8        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-081045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+9)   27-32 (+1)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-42)  70-75 (-17)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SE 12        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-081045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+13)  30-35 (+2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-43)  67-72 (-18)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     S  8         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH INCREASING
TO 10 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-081045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+13)  32-37 (+2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-35)  75-80 (-5)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SE 15        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-081045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+12)  30-35 (0)    54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-35)  79-84 (-1)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SE 15        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-081045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+9)   29-34 (+1)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-27)  71-76 (-14)  26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE 12                     SE 10        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-081045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+11)  33-38 (+3)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-31)  70-75 (-12)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 13                      SE  9        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-081045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
435 AM EST MON MAR 7 2011 /335 AM CST MON MAR 7 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+12)  35-40 (+4)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-29)  73-78 (-6)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  6                     SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      SE 21        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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