
289 
FNUS54 KMRX 061939
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING DRIER WEATHER AND TRANQUIL 
CONDITIONS. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION BY THE 
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK....BRINGING ANOTHER GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 
THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-13)  47-52 (+10)  27-32        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   33-38 (-30)  70-75        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G16     NE  5        E  6         SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     SE 12        
DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-13)  46-51 (+9)   26-31        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   35-40 (-35)  71-76        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      E  5 G16     SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     S 12         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS 
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-072045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   46-51 (+12)  30-35        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   36-41 (-31)  67-72        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     SE  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     S 12         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH... 
INCREASING TO 10 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 
TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO 
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-072045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   50-55 (+10)  32-37        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  37-42 (-23)  71-76        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     SE 16        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-072045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-15)  50-55 (+9)   30-35        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  38-43 (-21)  73-78        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G19     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    SE 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 12                     SE 15        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  49-54 (+9)   28-33        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   32-37 (-27)  71-76        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        E  5         SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     SE 12        
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   50-55 (+10)  33-38        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  35-40 (-26)  65-70        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NE  7        E  5         SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 14                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 
TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 /140 PM CST SUN MAR 6 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-8)   52-57 (+10)  35-40        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-13)  34-39 (-23)  70-75        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  7 G15                 SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     NE  5        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 13                     S 20         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 
TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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