
159 
FNUS54 KMRX 060955
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS 
MORNING...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW AREAS THIS MORNING. 
DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY... WITH ANOTHER 
COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-11)  24-29 (-16)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    74-79 (-18)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  7 G16    NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NE 12        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   24-29 (-18)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   72-77 (-18)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G21                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    NW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   24-29 (-16)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-13)  75-80 (-15)  29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G20     N  8 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      NE  8        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   26-31 (-15)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-18)  75-80 (-14)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N 10 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      NE  7        
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   25-30 (-17)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-20)  75-80 (-15)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 12 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 12 G22     N 11 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 25                      NE  3        
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   8 POOR       
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-11)  26-31 (-16)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   72-77 (-17)  28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  26-31 (-13)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-15)  72-77 (-17)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G21                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G19     N  5         NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      E 12         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
455 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2011 /355 AM CST SUN MAR 6 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   28-33 (-12)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-26)  72-77 (-19)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G22                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 11 G20     N  8 G17     NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   
PRECIP END            4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 23                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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