
705 
FNUS54 KMRX 051950
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW AREAS TONIGHT AND 
SUNDAY MORNING. DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY... 
WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   46-51 (-10)  24-29        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+21)  47-52 (-9)   72-77        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     NW 11 G18    NW 10 G19    NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.38         0.47         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 16         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   47-52 (-7)   24-29        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   44-49 (-15)  72-77        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G24                  N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G30     NW 12 G22    NW 11 G23    N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            4            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.42         0.50         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 14         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-062045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   47-52 (-7)   24-29        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+14)  42-47 (-17)  72-77        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 17 G35     NW 10 G20    N 10 G21     NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.79         0.28         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NE 14        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-062045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   49-54 (-6)   26-31        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+7)   41-46 (-20)  72-77        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G18                  NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     N 11 G20     N 10 G20     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.81         0.17         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      NE 14        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-062045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   50-55 (-4)   26-31        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   41-46 (-22)  72-77        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G24    NW 13 G24    N 12 G22     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.90         0.21         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   48-53 (-11)  26-31        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+16)  45-50 (-9)   72-77        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G18    NW 10 G19    NW  6 G15    NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.47         0.40         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     NE 13        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  47-52 (-12)  26-31        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+16)  43-48 (-17)  72-77        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G20                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     NW 10 G20    N  7 G15     NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       8            2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.57         0.19         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      NE 15        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 /145 PM CST SAT MAR 5 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   49-54 (-7)   28-33        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+8)   39-44 (-27)  72-77        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 12 G23                  NE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     NW 12 G20    N  9 G17     NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.50         0.08         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      NE 16        
DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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