
089 
FNUS54 KMRX 050816
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN TODAY...WITH SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY WITH 
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. HEAVY RAIN IS 
EXPECTED LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.  
COOLER WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   40-45 (-2)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+22)  91-96 (+19)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G25                  NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G27     LGT/VAR      NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         1.44         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   42-47 (+3)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+26)  90-95 (+14)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G21                 NW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G24    SE  9 G21    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         1.48         0.50         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 39                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-060930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   40-45 (-2)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+22)  93-98 (+16)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G22                  NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     S  7 G19     N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         1.84         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      W 17         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-060930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   43-48 (-1)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+20)  92-97 (+14)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G24                 N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G24    S  7 G19     N 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         1.86         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 40                      NW 18        
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-060930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   44-49 (+2)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+21)  88-93 (+7)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    S  8 G16     N 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         1.92         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      W 18         
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   42-47 (0)    48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+28)  91-96 (+15)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G16                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.53         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      W 20         
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   39-44 (-6)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+24)  95-100 (+20) 47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         1.64         0.19         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 40                      NW 21        
DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2011 /216 AM CST SAT MAR 5 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   39-44 (-9)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+25)  95-100 (+25) 43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G20                  N 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW  9 G19    N 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.81         1.59         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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