
050 
FNUS54 KMRX 042037
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE 
REGION ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   57-62 (-2)   40-45        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+20)  52-57 (+23)  90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G26                  N  9 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     S 13 G24     S  9 G19     N 10 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.42         1.66         0.50         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      N 14         
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+7)   55-60 (-2)   42-47        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+20)  51-56 (+24)  89-94        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G32                  SE  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G29    S 12 G27     S 10 G20     W  7 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.28         1.67         0.60         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   55-60 (-2)   40-45        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+15)  56-61 (+22)  91-96        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 19 G37                  NE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G31     S 16 G36     S 14 G30     N  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.67         1.88         0.30         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 39                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   57-62 (-2)   43-48        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+16)  58-63 (+20)  90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G29                  N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G29    S 15 G29     S 14 G28     N  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.90         1.89         0.15         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      N 14         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   56-61 (-2)   43-48        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+14)  59-64 (+22)  90-95        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 13 G24                 E  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G25    S 12 G23     S 11 G24     NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.81         1.97         0.23         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   60-65 (-2)   42-47        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+21)  49-54 (+22)  89-94        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  N  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G22    S  9 G21     SE  6        N  7 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.43         1.69         0.43         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      N 13         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   60-65 (-2)   41-46        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+22)  51-56 (+17)  89-94        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G26                  N 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     S 13 G26     S  9 G23     N  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.84         1.55         0.13         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      N 17         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 /205 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   59-64 (-2)   41-46        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+15)  58-63 (+21)  90-95        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G25                  N 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G25    S 13 G24     S 12 G25     N 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         1.18         1.59         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      N 21         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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