
107 
FNUS54 KMRX 040743
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE INTO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WITH SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY BY 
FRIDAY NIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION ON 
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND 
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   40-45 (+8)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+13)  79-84 (+20)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8        SE  7        S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 37         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   37-42 (+8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+13)  88-93 (+25)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G15    SE  8 G17    S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      S 36         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-050845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   40-45 (+9)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+15)  88-93 (+22)  61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  S 17 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  9 G22     S 16 G31     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.70         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      S 39         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   44-49 (+8)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+16)  83-88 (+17)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G19                 S 15 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G21    SE 10 G25    S 14 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.90         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      S 39         
DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   43-48 (+9)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+16)  85-90 (+16)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 SE 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    SE  9 G19    SE 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.81         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 30                      S 35         
DISPERSION            109 VERY GOOD             41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             2                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-4)   40-45 (+8)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+11)  85-90 (+22)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7        SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.57         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 31         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   43-48 (+5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+13)  82-87 (+21)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G17                 S 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  6         S 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.86         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      S 39         
DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2011 /143 AM CST FRI MAR 4 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   46-51 (+6)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+16)  78-83 (+16)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 S 14 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     S 10 G22     S 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         1.18         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      S 39         
DISPERSION            108 VERY GOOD             69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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