
100 
FNUS54 KMRX 031952
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING INCREASING AMOUNTS OF 
MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... 
WITH SHOWERS BECOMING LIKELY BY FRIDAY NIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... 
BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+1)   57-62 (-5)   40-45        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+11)  32-37 (+13)  79-84        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G18                 S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G21    S 11 G19     SE 12 G25    S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.41         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      S 24         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN 
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-4)   55-60 (-5)   37-42        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+11)  32-37 (+13)  88-93        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G20                 S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G27    S 13 G22     SE 15 G32    S 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      S 25         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE 
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-042045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-7)   54-59 (-5)   39-44        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+14)  37-42 (+16)  88-93        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  S 17 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G28    S 16 G29     S 16 G34     S 16 G31     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.16         0.56         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      S 26         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 
TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-042045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-4)   56-61 (-5)   42-47        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   41-46 (+18)  84-89        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 12 G25                 S 15 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G29    SE 15 G28    SE 14 G31    S 14 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.21         0.71         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      S 28         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-042045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   56-61 (-5)   40-45        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   39-44 (+16)  91-96        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G23                 SE 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G29    SE 14 G25    SE 14 G30    SE 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.21         0.63         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      S 24         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          2                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN 
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   58-63 (-5)   40-45        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   31-36 (+11)  85-90        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G16                 S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G19    S 11 G19     SE 10 G24    SE  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.09         0.47         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      S 23         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 50. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   58-63 (-6)   44-49        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   38-43 (+14)  83-88        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G21                 S 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G19    S 13 G24     S 10 G21     S 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.19         0.71         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      S 28         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EST THU MAR 3 2011 /150 PM CST THU MAR 3 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   59-64 (-5)   47-52        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   40-45 (+16)  78-83        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G24                  S 14 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G23    S 14 G26     S 13 G26     S 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.27         0.91         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      S 30         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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