
844 
FNUS54 KMRX 031526 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TODAY...
...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER 
THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A CHANCE FOR 
A FEW SHOWERS ON FRIDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN 
AFFECT THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041615-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   31-36 (+1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   65-70 (+2)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G20    SE 12 G22    S 13 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 14                     S 25         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041615-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    27-32 (-4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-6)   69-74 (+3)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10                     SE 12 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G23    SE 16 G29    S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     S 25         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-041615-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   29-34 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-6)   71-76 (+10)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9                     S 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G22    SE 12 G25    S 15 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 33         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY AND CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO 
THE WEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-041615-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    32-37 (-6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   80-85 (+12)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 8                      SE 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE 12 G25    SE 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     S 36         
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 10 
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-041615-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    31-36 (-4)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   84-89 (+14)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G20    SE 14 G25    SE 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     S 33         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               95 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE 
WEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   30-35 (-2)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   72-77 (+1)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G19    SE 10 G22    S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 16                     S 24         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    35-40 (0)    58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   72-77 (+4)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 5                      S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SE  8 G19    S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      S 33         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO 
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041615-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1025 AM EST THU MAR 3 2011 /925 AM CST THU MAR 3 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   38-43 (+1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-6)   74-79 (+5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8                     S 11 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G20    SE 11 G22    S 13 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     S 35         
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH... 
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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