
354 
FNUS54 KMRX 021955
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

...LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS ON THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
TONIGHT...BUT WILL ONLY BRING A REINFORCING SHOT OF DRY AIR WITH 
TEMPERATURES REMAINING SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL 
DEVELOP OVER THE REGION BY FRIDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE 
AND A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL 
THEN AFFECT THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   57-62 (0)    33-38        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    26-31 (-4)   80-85        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         SE  9 G17    SE 11 G21    S 12 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S 29         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   56-61 (0)    32-37        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   27-32 (-2)   80-85        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G18                 SE 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G22    SE 15 G29    SE 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 30         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-032045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-8)   58-63 (0)    34-39        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+6)   27-32 (-1)   78-83        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G16                 S 15 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G20    SE 14 G29    S 17 G32     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      S 35         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-032045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   61-66 (0)    39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   31-36 (+3)   83-88        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G22                 SE 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G22    SE 14 G29    SE 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     S 35         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-032045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (0)    60-65 (0)    38-43        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-14)  31-36 (+5)   79-84        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 11 G22                 SE 12 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 14 G22    SE 15 G28    SE 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     S 33         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO 
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   60-65 (0)    34-39        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   27-32 (-2)   85-90        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  6 G15                  SE  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE  9 G18    SE 10 G21    S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 14                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   62-67 (0)    38-43        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   28-33 (-2)   83-88        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      S 10 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        SE  8 G15    SE  8 G18    S 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     S 32         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EST WED MAR 2 2011 /155 PM CST WED MAR 2 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   63-68 (0)    42-47        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-6)   30-35 (+1)   79-84        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G21                 S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  5        SE 12 G22    SE 11 G24    S 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 23                     S 35         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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