
299 
FNUS54 KMRX 280855
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY.  
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF...AND
WITH THE COLD FRONT. DRIER AND MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   28-33 (-22)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   79-84 (+3)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 17 G31                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G32    N 12 G27     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.23         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 53                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   29-34 (-22)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   78-83 (+6)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G31                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G32    NW  9 G24    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.04         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 49                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   31-36 (-24)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+9)   79-84 (+7)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 19 G38                 NE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G38    N 10 G23     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.09         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 51                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   34-39 (-24)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+11)  80-85 (+1)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G30                  N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G30    NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.98         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 48                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   35-40 (-22)  57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+15)  81-86 (+1)   18-23        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G27    NW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.99         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 48                     NE  8        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   30-35 (-20)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   75-80 (0)    27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G31                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G31    N  9 G27     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.13         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 51                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   32-37 (-25)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   75-80 (+3)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 17 G30                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G29    N 12 G29     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.13         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 46                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
355 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011 /255 AM CST MON FEB 28 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+4)   33-38 (-26)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   80-85 (+3)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G27                  NE  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G27    N 14 G28     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.92         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   5            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 45                     NE 13        
DISPERSION            127 VERY GOOD             36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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