
132 
FNUS54 KMRX 272012
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY MONDAY.  
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF...AND WITH THE 
COLD FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+14)  67-72 (+4)   30-35        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   48-53 (-2)   78-83        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G30                 NE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     SW 18 G35    NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.88         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 53                     NE  8        
DISPERSION                         181 VERY GOOD             15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+15)  64-69 (+3)   31-36        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-9)   50-55 (+5)   81-86        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 16 G32                 N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G27     SW 19 G35    NW 14 G26    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.73         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 49                     NE  6        
DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+11)  63-68 (+1)   30-35        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   50-55 (+5)   88-93        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 20 G40                 NE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G33     SW 19 G42    NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.82         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     NE  7        
DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+16)  67-72 (+1)   33-38        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-9)   53-58 (+3)   90-95        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G34                  N  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G28     SW 16 G34    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.72         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 48                     NE  7        
DISPERSION                         134 VERY GOOD             9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+19)  67-72 (0)    33-38        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-11)  52-57 (+5)   88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G28                  N  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     SW 14 G29    NW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.73         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 48                     NE  5        
DISPERSION                         175 VERY GOOD             8 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+17)  68-73 (+2)   32-37        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-14)  48-53 (+2)   79-84        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G29                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G20     SW 18 G33    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.80         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     NE  8        
DISPERSION                         132 VERY GOOD             11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+13)  68-73 (+3)   33-38        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   51-56 (+1)   82-87        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 17 G30                 NE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G25     W 17 G32     NW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.80         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 46                     NE 10        
DISPERSION                         115 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
312 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 /212 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+13)  69-74 (+3)   34-39        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-9)   53-58 (+1)   83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G29                  NE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     W 16 G30     NW 10 G25    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.62         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 45                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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