
015 
FNUS54 KMRX 271509
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY EARLY 
TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY  
MONDAY. SHOWERS AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD 
OF...AND WITH THE COLD FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281615-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+10)  50-55 (+12)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  84-89 (+1)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 SW 15 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  9 G21     SW 19 G35    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.05         0.73         
LAL                   2            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      SW 57        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             168 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281615-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   49-54 (+13)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+6)   80-85 (-4)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  SW 16 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    S 10 G27     SW 18 G35    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.62         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      SW 49        
DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   81 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281615-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+9)   49-54 (+9)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  84-89 (+11)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G23                 SW 20 G40    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    S 14 G33     SW 20 G42    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.60         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 55        
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281615-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   51-56 (+14)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+11)  90-95 (-2)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 S 18 G34     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    S 12 G28     SW 17 G34    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.55         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     SW 53        
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281615-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+8)   50-55 (+17)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+12)  90-95 (-5)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S 14 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    S  9 G22     SW 15 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.52         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 49        
DISPERSION            97 GOOD                   153 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+10)  50-55 (+15)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  85-90 (-8)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 SW 14 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    S  7 G20     SW 18 G33    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.04         0.67         
LAL                   2            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     SW 54        
DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             107 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281615-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+8)   53-58 (+11)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  82-87 (0)    52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 SW 17 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     S 10 G25     SW 17 G32    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           90           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.07         0.59         
LAL                   2            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     SW 55        
DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281615-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1009 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011 /909 AM CST SUN FEB 27 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   54-59 (+11)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+14)  86-91 (-3)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     S 16 G29     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    S 12 G24     SW 16 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.09         0.50         
LAL                   2            4            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     SW 53        
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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