
279 
FNUS54 KMRX 262003
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT 
WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY. SHOWERS AND A 
FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF...AND WITH THE COLD 
FRONT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+10)  64-69 (+11)  49-54        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   44-49 (+9)   89-94        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G19                 SW 11 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G20    S  8 G17     SW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           40           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.02         0.39         
LAL                   1            3            2            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 37                      SW 52        
DISPERSION                         178 VERY GOOD             199 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+10)  62-67 (+10)  47-52        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   44-49 (+10)  92-97        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 SW 12 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    S  7 G18     SW 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.36         
LAL                   1            3            1            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      SW 41        
DISPERSION                         131 VERY GOOD             173 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-272115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+10)  62-67 (+9)   48-53        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   42-47 (+14)  82-87        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 SW 17 G34    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    S 12 G26     SW 18 G36    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.39         
LAL                   1            3            1            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 51        
DISPERSION                         121 VERY GOOD             182 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-272115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   67-72 (+9)   51-56        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 47-52 (+13)  88-93        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G15                 S 14 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G16     S 10 G21     SW 17 G32    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.03         0.39         
LAL                   1            3            2            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     SW 49        
DISPERSION                         146 VERY GOOD             197 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-272115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (+7)   67-72 (+8)   50-55        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 46-51 (+17)  85-90        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     S  9 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  7 G16     SW 15 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         0.39         
LAL                   1            2            1            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     SW 46        
DISPERSION                         128 VERY GOOD             195 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+7)   66-71 (+10)  48-53        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   43-48 (+12)  90-95        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW 12 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    S  5         SW 14 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           20           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.02         0.39         
LAL                   1            3            1            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     SW 48        
DISPERSION                         182 VERY GOOD             199 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+12)  66-71 (+9)   51-56        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+10)  47-52 (+15)  88-93        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S 15 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9        S  9 G19     SW 15 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.04         0.39         
LAL                   1            3            2            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     SW 53        
DISPERSION                         187 VERY GOOD             200 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
303 PM EST SAT FEB 26 2011 /203 PM CST SAT FEB 26 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+11)  67-72 (+8)   53-58        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+21) 49-54 (+16)  90-95        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9         S  9 G19     SW 17 G31    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           90           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.07         0.34         
LAL                   1            3            2            5            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     SW 53        
DISPERSION                         186 VERY GOOD             200 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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