
715 
FNUS54 KMRX 241554
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
ON TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE STRONG 
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES 
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-251700-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    45-50 (+10)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+22)  89-94 (+13)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW 15 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    S 12 G22     W 12 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.60         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 36         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-251700-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   44-49 (+10)  51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+21)  87-92 (+11)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  SW 20 G41    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     S 16 G33     W 15 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.55         0.10         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 38         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-251700-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   45-50 (+8)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+23)  84-89 (+9)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  SW 18 G36    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S 18 G39     NW 11 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.68         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 32         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-251700-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   49-54 (+9)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+23)  84-89 (+12)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  W 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G22     S 14 G28     NW  9 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.69         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      W 29         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-251700-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   49-54 (+11)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+27)  89-94 (+12)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     SW 12 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S 13 G24     NW  9 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.71         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 32         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-251700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    46-51 (+9)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+22)  85-90 (+8)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW 17 G32    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    S 12 G23     W 11 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.61         0.07         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 35         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   115 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-251700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   48-53 (+7)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+23)  83-88 (+9)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  SW 15 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     S 13 G25     NW  9 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.71         0.02         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-251700-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1054 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011 /954 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   51-56 (+7)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+23)  82-87 (+10)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  W 13 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     S 14 G26     NW  8 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.71         0.01         
LAL                   1            2            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      W 29         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

