
694 
FNUS54 KMRX 231945
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
ON THURSDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. 
SOME STORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 
NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+6)   54-59 (0)    45-50        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+9)   59-64 (+26)  89-94        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5 G19    W  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.59         0.58         0.13         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 35         
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   52-57 (-1)   44-49        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   59-64 (+27)  85-90        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW 11 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     S  9 G23     W 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.25         0.34         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 39         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   53-58 (-2)   46-51        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   59-64 (+28)  86-91        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G18                  W 12 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G26     S 14 G33     W 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.59         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     W 35         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   58-63 (-2)   49-54        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   59-64 (+30)  89-94        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G15                  W 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     S 11 G25     NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.66         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+6)   59-64 (0)    50-55        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+9)   63-68 (+34)  95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     S  7 G16     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.67         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      W 33         
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+7)   57-62 (+1)   47-52        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   53-58 (+21)  81-86        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 12 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           90           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.33         0.52         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 36         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+11)  57-62 (-1)   50-55        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   56-61 (+25)  79-84        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     S  7 G19     NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.35         0.75         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011 /145 PM CST WED FEB 23 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  60-65 (-1)   51-56        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+8)   56-61 (+27)  81-86        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     S  9 G21     NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.07         0.72         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            2            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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