
183 
FNUS54 KMRX 230932
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL WEATHER TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.  A STRONG LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON 
THURSDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE STRONG 
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES 
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   33-38 (+4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-14)  89-94 (+7)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.54         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   32-37 (+4)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-13)  85-90 (+7)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   35-40 (+6)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-6)   80-85 (+3)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   38-43 (+7)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   80-85 (-3)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 26         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   36-41 (+4)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   92-97 (+7)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S 24         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   35-40 (+5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  84-89 (+4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   39-44 (+9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   80-85 (+1)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     SW 29        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
432 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011 /332 AM CST WED FEB 23 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   42-47 (+10)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-4)   82-87 (+5)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      S 29         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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