
525 
FNUS54 KMRX 230337 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
ON THURSDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE STRONG 
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES 
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240445-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-10)  52-57 (+4)   33-38        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+7)   31-36 (-17)  86-91        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.68         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240445-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  52-57 (+4)   32-37        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-1)   33-38 (-13)  88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    S 10 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 20 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-240445-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  53-58 (+3)   35-40        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   26-31 (-12)  89-94        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     S 13 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 33        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-240445-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  57-62 (+1)   39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+11)  26-31 (-9)   85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G19    S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-240445-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-19)  58-63 (0)    37-42        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+15)  23-28 (-8)   90-95        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        S  5         SE  8 G17    S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
INCREASING TO 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-13)  56-61 (+4)   35-40        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+6)   29-34 (-14)  88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240445-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-14)  57-62 (+4)   39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+7)   28-33 (-11)  84-89        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 33        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-240445-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1037 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011 /937 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-14)  59-64 (+4)   42-47        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+8)   30-35 (-4)   83-88        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         S  5         S  9 G19     S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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