
903 
FNUS54 KMRX 221939
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
ON THURSDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE STRONG 
WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES 
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  52-57 (+4)   33-38        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   31-36 (-17)  86-91        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.68         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  52-57 (+4)   32-37        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   33-38 (-13)  88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    S 10 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-232030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-14)  53-58 (+3)   35-40        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   26-31 (-12)  89-94        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     S 13 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 33        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...WINDY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 
20 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH 
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-232030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-17)  57-62 (+1)   39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   26-31 (-9)   85-90        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  8 G19    S 11 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 31        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 
5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-232030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-19)  58-63 (0)    37-42        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+7)   23-28 (-8)   90-95        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        S  5         SE  8 G17    S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH... 
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-14)  56-61 (+4)   35-40        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   29-34 (-14)  88-93        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 28        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH 
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-15)  57-62 (+4)   39-44        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    28-33 (-11)  84-89        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.45         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      2500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 33        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011 /140 PM CST TUE FEB 22 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-15)  59-64 (+4)   42-47        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   30-35 (-4)   83-88        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         S  5         S  9 G19     S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN 
THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 
5 TO 25 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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