
731 
FNUS54 KMRX 211947
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL BRING A COLD 
FRONT AND SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT. A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE 
OHIO RIVER VALLEY ON THURSDAY...BRINGING A BETTER COVERAGE OF 
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL 
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-222045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   46-51 (-18)  27-32        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+12)  44-49 (-1)   85-90        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-222045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   49-54 (-12)  26-31        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+19)  39-44 (-7)   81-86        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G28    NW 11 G21    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-222045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   52-57 (-8)   26-31        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+16)  30-35 (-16)  80-85        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G31    NW  9 G17    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     W  7         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-222045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   55-60 (-9)   28-33        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+11)  29-34 (-17)  81-86        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G27    NW  8 G15    N  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-222045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+2)   56-61 (-8)   26-31        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   26-31 (-17)  86-91        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G26    NW 10 G17    N  5         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   10 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-1)   51-56 (-15)  28-33        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+11)  39-44 (-7)   82-87        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW  6        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-222045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   51-56 (-15)  28-33        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+14)  34-39 (-12)  84-89        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-222045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EST MON FEB 21 2011 /145 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   55-60 (-11)  29-34        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+13)  29-34 (-18)  76-81        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    NW  8        N  6         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            7 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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