
422 
FNUS54 KMRX 211139 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE 
VALLEYS TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS A CHANCE OF 
RAIN SHOWERS.  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR 
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221245-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+8)   39-44 (-5)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+22)  84-89 (+13)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 W  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G25    SW 12 G23    NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.20         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 20         
DISPERSION            141 VERY GOOD             76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221245-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   38-43 (-3)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+25)  88-93 (+21)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G23                  NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W 11 G24     NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 25         
DISPERSION            111 VERY GOOD             80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221245-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   39-44 (-4)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+30)  91-96 (+20)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G26                 NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G29    SW 13 G30    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.15         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     W 22         
DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221245-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   43-48 (-3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+28)  85-90 (+15)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    SW 11 G22    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     W 18         
DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221245-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   44-49 (0)    56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+27)  85-90 (+6)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G21                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    W  8 G17     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            137 VERY GOOD             77 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   41-46 (-2)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+20)  82-87 (+13)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    SW 11 G21    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 20         
DISPERSION            121 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221245-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   42-47 (-5)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+25)  81-86 (+17)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    SW 11 G20    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 16         
DISPERSION            122 VERY GOOD             59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221245-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
639 AM EST MON FEB 21 2011 /539 AM CST MON FEB 21 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   43-48 (-5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+26)  82-87 (+17)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G21                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    SW 10 G20    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 17         
DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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