
302 
FNUS54 KMRX 201932
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE 
SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY MONDAY AND MONDAY 
NIGHT...BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+16)  63-68 (+8)   37-42        43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+28)  40-45 (+22)  88-93        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G23                 W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  9 G19     SW 14 G23    SW 13 G22    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.18         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         109 VERY GOOD             113 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   59-64 (+5)   37-42        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+28)  43-48 (+25)  89-94        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G26                  W 15 G30     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     W 14 G25     SW 14 G24    NW 16 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.12         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      W 33         
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             113 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   59-64 (+3)   38-43        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+43)  44-49 (+28)  83-88        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G27                 W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW 15 G28    SW 15 G24    NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.15         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   64-69 (+4)   42-47        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+34)  45-50 (+29)  77-82        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G24                 NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G23     SW 14 G25    SW 13 G23    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.10         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   65-70 (+5)   43-48        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+31)  44-49 (+28)  75-80        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SW 14 G24    SW 14 G23    NW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 33        
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             111 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          3                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+14)  63-68 (+5)   39-44        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+13)  44-49 (+21)  88-93        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G25                 W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  8 G16     SW 14 G25    SW 12 G21    NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.16         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     W 24         
DISPERSION                         114 VERY GOOD             104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+10)  63-68 (+4)   39-44        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+24)  46-51 (+26)  84-89        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G24                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 14 G25    SW 12 G20    NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.14         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW 22        
DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
232 PM EST SUN FEB 20 2011 /132 PM CST SUN FEB 20 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   64-69 (+1)   40-45        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+34)  50-55 (+30)  82-87        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G21                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW 13 G23    SW 11 G19    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

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