
761 
FNUS54 KMRX 200832
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011


...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH
INCREASING WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY...ALLOWING MOISTURE 
TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION.  A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SWING BY TO 
OUR NORTH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...PULLING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE 
AREA.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   40-45 (+11)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (+9)   89-94 (+43)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5 G15     SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 32         
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    37-42 (+7)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+13)  89-94 (+49)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  W 12 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  7 G18     W  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 35         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-210945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   39-44 (+5)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+20)  82-87 (+44)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S 11 G26     SW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 33        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-210945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   43-48 (+9)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+18)  91-96 (+42)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     S  6 G16     SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 29                      SW 29        
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-210945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-7)   41-46 (+9)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+21)  94-99 (+42)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 30        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             2                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   39-44 (+10)  60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+16)  92-97 (+38)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 32         
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    43-48 (+7)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+13)  87-92 (+36)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW  7 G15    SW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      SW 31        
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
332 AM EST SUN FEB 20 2011 /232 AM CST SUN FEB 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   45-50 (+5)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+16)  92-97 (+34)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  7         SW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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