
597 
FNUS54 KMRX 192001
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WILL GIVE WAY TO AN ADVANCING 
WARM FRONT...WHICH WILL INCREASE CLOUDS ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO REBOUND SLIGHTLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN ON MONDAY.
BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DRAWS NEAR.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   57-62 (+2)   42-47        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-20)  23-28 (+12)  89-94        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5 G15                  SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    S  8 G19     SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 41         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               126 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+1)   53-58 (-1)   39-44        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-35)  20-25 (+8)   86-91        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G19                 W 12 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G24     S 11 G24     W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 39         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               110 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202115-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   54-59 (-1)   40-45        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-39)  19-24 (+11)  85-90        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G24                  SW 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G27     S 13 G30     SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   59-64 (-3)   43-48        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-31)  24-29 (+13)  93-98        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G23                 SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G26     S 10 G23     SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      SW 35        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   58-63 (-6)   41-46        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-31)  25-30 (+15)  95-100       46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G20                 SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G23     S  6 G15     SW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 36         
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   112 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          1                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   58-63 (-1)   40-45        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-22)  22-27 (+11)  90-95        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    S  6 G15     SW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 39         
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               118 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202115-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   60-65 (+1)   45-50        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-30)  26-31 (+11)  86-91        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5 G18                 SW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G23     S  9 G21     SW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202115-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EST SAT FEB 19 2011 /201 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    62-67 (0)    46-51        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-18)  30-35 (+17)  91-96        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G19                 SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S  9 G18     SW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 26                      SW 37        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               121 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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