
580 
FNUS54 KMRX 182000
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. DRIER AND SLIGHTLY 
COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT ON SATURDAY. NORTHEAST TN AND
SOUTHWEST VA WILL SEE AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS
AND LOWER 20S TOMORROW...WITH WINDS 10-15 MPH.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  53-58 (-7)   29-34        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    16-21 (-35)  66-71        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  8 G16     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            11 PM                                  7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  52-57 (-5)   27-32        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+10)  13-18 (-39)  73-78        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G19                  S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G21    NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   1 PM         
PRECIP END            3 AM                                   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-192100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-6)   53-58 (-4)   32-37        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   19-24 (-35)  79-84        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8                     S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         N  7         LGT/VAR      S 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      S 21         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-192100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   59-64 (-2)   37-42        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   22-27 (-31)  91-96        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G15                 S 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      S 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      S 25         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-192100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   59-64 (-3)   37-42        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-13)  24-29 (-27)  94-99        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      S 22         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-7)   55-60 (-7)   29-34        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+9)   15-20 (-37)  78-83        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  7         LGT/VAR      S 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            11 PM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      S 16         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  56-61 (-6)   35-40        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+20)  22-27 (-26)  80-85        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8                     S  7 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NE  7        LGT/VAR      S 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     S 24         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EST FRI FEB 18 2011 /200 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   60-65 (-4)   40-45        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   22-27 (-29)  85-90        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE 10 G20                 S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  9 G17    NE  7 G15    S 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     S 26         
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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