
719 
FNUS54 KMRX 180848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON TODAY AND EARLY 
TONIGHT.  A STRONGER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE REGION BY 
MONDAY.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   33-38 (-10)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+21)  91-96 (+21)  17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      N 22         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               92 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-4)   32-37 (-10)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+24)  94-99 (+25)  16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G18                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     NW  6        NW  8 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-191000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-5)   37-42 (-3)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+23)  92-97 (+29)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 14         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-6)   41-46 (+2)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+24)  95-100 (+20) 27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NE 16        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-191000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   42-47 (+7)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+28)  95-100 (+23) 30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 12         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-4)   35-40 (-6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+24)  91-96 (+18)  20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      N 15         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-6)   39-44 (-7)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+15)  84-89 (+10)  22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NE 15        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
348 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011 /248 AM CST FRI FEB 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-6)   42-47 (-3)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+21)  91-96 (+12)  27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NE 20        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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