
467 
FNUS54 KMRX 171943
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY 
NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT 
WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER FOR SATURDAY...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER ON FRIDAY...THEN DROP AGAIN BEHIND THE
FRONT ON SATURDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  60-65 (-5)   35-40        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   45-50 (+18)  83-88        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G17                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      N 21         
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   57-62 (-5)   34-39        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (-11)  43-48 (+12)  90-95        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     W  9 G18     NW  5        NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      N 20         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+2)   59-64 (-4)   37-42        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   41-46 (+13)  83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G20                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      N 14         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-182045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   64-69 (-4)   42-47        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   45-50 (+14)  85-90        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NE 15        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   65-70 (-2)   43-48        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-9)   42-47 (+12)  82-87        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     W  9 G16     LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      N 13         
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+11)  62-67 (-4)   36-41        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-9)   43-48 (+15)  88-93        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      N 15         
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   62-67 (-6)   39-44        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-10)  47-52 (+17)  86-91        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      NE 16        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
243 PM EST THU FEB 17 2011 /143 PM CST THU FEB 17 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   64-69 (-4)   42-47        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   45-50 (+14)  88-93        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G15                 NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     W  7         LGT/VAR      NE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      NE 15        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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