
665 
FNUS54 KMRX 170913
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TODAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
EXPECTED. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY... 
BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   40-45 (+4)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+9)   81-86 (+12)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    S  6         W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 32         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   38-43 (+2)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+8)   83-88 (+16)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G16                  W 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    S  6         W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 31         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-181015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   38-43 (+1)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+4)   87-92 (+18)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G20     S  9 G19     W 11 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 28         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-181015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   39-44 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   85-90 (+11)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  7 G15     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 25         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-181015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   38-43 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   92-97 (+15)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  5         W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 25         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   41-46 (+7)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+8)   82-87 (+7)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 30         
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   42-47 (+4)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   82-87 (+5)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    S  6         SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 29         
DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
413 AM EST THU FEB 17 2011 /313 AM CST THU FEB 17 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   42-47 (+1)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   80-85 (+3)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  6         W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 26         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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