
557 
FNUS54 KMRX 161949
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
EXPECTED. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON FRIDAY 
NIGHT...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   61-66 (+2)   39-44        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+16)  31-36 (+10)  85-90        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    S  6         W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   58-63 (+3)   38-43        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+3)   34-39 (+8)   85-90        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    S  6         W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   57-62 (+3)   39-44        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   34-39 (+4)   82-87        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  SW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G20     S  9 G19     W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   62-67 (+4)   41-46        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   38-43 (+5)   80-85        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     S  7 G15     W  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+7)   61-66 (+2)   40-45        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   37-42 (+6)   80-85        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     S  6         W  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      W 25         
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   64 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (+5)   62-67 (+2)   41-46        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   32-37 (+8)   83-88        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   63-68 (+5)   42-47        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+8)   36-41 (+6)   83-88        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    S  6         SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     W 28         
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
249 PM EST WED FEB 16 2011 /149 PM CST WED FEB 16 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   65-70 (+7)   43-48        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+14)  37-42 (+2)   78-83        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     S  6         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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