
952 
FNUS54 KMRX 141930
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   50-55 (-6)   29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+17)  26-31 (-2)   64-69        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 10                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-7)   49-54 (-6)   25-30        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+8)   23-28 (-2)   71-76        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G27    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152030-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-8)   51-56 (-4)   24-29        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   18-23 (-5)   73-78        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     SW 18        
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      24-29 (-5)   56-61 (-2)   25-30        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   24-29 (-1)   87-92        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      S 20         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               94 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-152030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   58-63 (0)    24-29        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-9)   22-27 (-2)   88-93        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G20    S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      S 17         
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               82 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-8)   52-57 (-6)   27-32        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+11)  28-33 (+3)   73-78        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  9                      SW 20        
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   53-58 (-6)   29-34        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+17)  28-33 (+4)   74-79        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  E  5                      S  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SW 24        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               130 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
230 PM EST MON FEB 14 2011 /130 PM CST MON FEB 14 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   56-61 (-5)   30-35        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+19)  29-34 (+4)   79-84        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  6                     S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      S  5         S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 10                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   122 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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