
790 
FNUS54 KMRX 140844
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH 
CAROLINA FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES 
ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TUESDAY...ALONG WITH WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY 
THAT WILL DIMINISH ON TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150845-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   25-30 (-8)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   73-78 (+16)  20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 39                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            109 VERY GOOD             16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150845-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   24-29 (-6)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (+1)   70-75 (+10)  16-21        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G30                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 18 G32     NW 12 G25    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 40                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150845-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   24-29 (-6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-4)   71-76 (+10)  6-11         
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 15 G30                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G27    NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150845-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   26-31 (-3)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-3)   78-83 (+11)  13-18        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G22    NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      E 12         
DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150845-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM THIS 
EVENING...

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   26-31 (+2)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-4)   76-81 (-4)   9-14         
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G30    NW  9 G18    S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      E 12         
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   26-31 (-7)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (0)    73-78 (+14)  21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G24                 E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G25     NW  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 37                      NE 12        
DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150845-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   26-31 (-8)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-1)   74-79 (+17)  21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G21                 E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      E 12         
DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150845-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EST MON FEB 14 2011 /500 AM CST MON FEB 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   28-33 (-6)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (+4)   74-79 (+18)  20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G18    NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      E 12         
DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

